ECB’s Lagarde Sounds Alarm on EU Inertia Over Capital Markets Union

European Central Bank President Christine Lagarde said Europe’s continuing struggle to innovate and the souring geopolitical backdrop make it even more imperative to unite its capital markets.

Addressing the Frankfurt European Banking Congress on Friday, she said the region’s inaction has cost it valuable time since she appeared at that same event in 2023 with much the same message.

“Since last year, Europe’s declining innovation position has come more clearly to light,” she said. “The technology gap between the United States and Europe is now unmistakable. The geopolitical environment has also become less favorable, with growing threats to free trade from all corners of the world.”

Since that 2023 speech, Donald Trump has regained the White House, while repeated European Union efforts to revive its longstanding initiative for a Capital Markets Union have effectively stalled. Now both its two biggest economies, Germany and France, face political stasis, with Berlin inching toward elections early next year.

“The urgency to integrate our capital markets has risen,” Lagarde said. “This growing urgency has not been matched by tangible progress.”

She recounted a tale of Brussels quagmire over the project, with “55 regulatory proposals and 50 non-legislative initiatives” devoted to the matter since 2015.

“Breadth has come at the expense of depth,” she said. “It has allowed CMU to be picked apart by national vested interests that see one or another initiative as a threat.”

The result is a backdrop where Europeans still save about a third of their total financial assets, compared with a 10th in the US, making them “much less wealthy than they could be.”

The region’s financial markets are “extraordinarily fragmented,” Lagarde observed, noting that last year the EU had 295 trading venues.

The ECB president showed a map of them to leaders at a recent summit.

“Some of them were flabbergasted,” she said. “If leaders can bypass the vested interests that are protected like a fortress in the ancient ages, we might have a chance.”

Alongside creating a “European SEC,” Lagarde said that regulatory fixes could emulate the two-tier supranational approach adopted for competition or banking supervision. Another option would be to create “a separate EU legal regime that firms can opt into sitting alongside the various national regimes.”

Lagarde’s Governing Council colleagues share her sense of alarm. Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel and Bank of France Governor Francois Villeroy de Galhau — who will appear at the same event as the ECB chief on Friday — wrote a joint op-ed for the Friday editions of Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung and Le Monde to urge action.

“The Savings and Investment Union is based on two main components: a completed banking union and a re-orientated capital markets union,” they said. “We need to invest and we have the necessary resources (private sector surplus savings amount to over €300 billion annually). But unlike the US, we still lack an appropriate intermediation mechanism — particularly through equity and venture capital.”

Lagarde also said that Europe needs to “fully harness the potential of our public development banks, especially the European Investment Bank, to pool risks and crowd in private capital.”

“More can be done to unlock the EIB’s potential and enable us to catch up with our peers faster,” she said. “In particular, the EIB should be allowed to use its resources more effectively and provide a wider variety of instruments to support breakthrough innovations, especially when it comes to supporting early-stage start-ups.”

Europe faces a choice on its destiny, the ECB chief said in conclusion.

“See people eat our lunch. Be their lunch. Or create our own cuisine,” she said. “We can do that.”